Quick Summary: Tunisians will elect a new parliament on Sunday, and all indications point to heavy losses for establishment parties. Young, independent candidates could reap the benefits.

Tunisia Parliamentary Elections at a glance:

• More than 15,000 candidates on 1,500 lists are contesting 217 seats in a parliament dominated by the Islamist-inspired Ennahdha in alliance with centrist party Nidaa Tounes

Assembling a government will be a Challenge

Although political polling is prohibited during campaigning, most signs suggest that no one party or group will win a clear majority in parliament.

Even the task of assembling a governing coalition of two or three parties could be a daunting task considering the fact that a number of small groups and independent members with little or no political experience may populate the body

With major political parties such as Ennahdha and Qalb Tounes refusing to enter a coalition government with one another; analysts warn of yet another political crisis.

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3 Key Facts About Tunisia’s Parliament Elections:

1. 220 registered political parties, but only 10 of them are fielding candidates in all 33 districts.
2. A 2019 survey by the International Republican Institute found that 70 percent of the population distrusted political parties

3. Presidential runoff will be held one week after Sunday’s parliamentary election.

SECURITY Bottom Line:

Many Tunisians hope that their presidential vote sent a powerful message to the political elites and that it would revive the promises of the 2011 revolution.

Given the socio-economic challenges that Tunisia is facing; it may be too much to hope for.

For more information on this development: Aljazeera: Tunisia’s parliamentary elections at a glance

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